Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 6.294114 6.928037 7.628838 8.466918 9.449781 10.575836 11.978144
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.391309 6.251615 7.282623 8.633145 10.393263 12.666764 15.928901
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.746272 5.676280 6.846751 8.471385 10.744154 13.942567 19.062814
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.318689 5.287191 6.552914 8.392554 11.121257 15.257634 22.585218
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.949916 4.921756 6.228889 8.198440 11.261298 16.203880 25.787055
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.697585 4.681619 6.040481 8.158239 11.604885 17.525183 30.151970
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.486706 4.476083 5.874092 8.119272 11.928289 18.869276 35.155891
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.368798 4.388999 5.866689 8.319359 12.679760 21.194053 43.696746
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.152150 4.141597 5.595364 8.055417 12.553377 21.720361 47.916916
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.957227 3.913061 5.334416 7.779471 12.359593 22.053869 51.830900
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.807265 3.741993 5.149487 7.612983 12.348689 22.795779 57.650342
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.698113 3.625560 5.041508 7.568084 12.569582 24.146686 66.894497
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.677321 3.650676 5.174808 7.994009 13.896370 28.932386 98.259279
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.600610 3.585320 5.157121 8.146470 14.690532 32.754442 135.647896
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.478703 3.440220 4.993153 7.998038 14.764794 34.457926 165.463618
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.380609 3.327266 4.875173 7.925659 15.007886 36.870124 212.977929
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.273926 3.194436 4.713272 7.747314 14.954848 38.243833 259.424635
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.197661 3.107199 4.625178 7.710358 15.260271 41.189323 356.671003
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.127378 3.026030 4.542095 7.674528 15.563870 44.369053 513.028026
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.093159 3.002868 4.561291 7.858430 16.521124 51.268702 1050.045767
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.003259 2.881536 4.393331 7.615801 16.197766 51.714298 1347.430711
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.917386 2.763771 4.226169 7.361794 15.802952 51.630954 1678.774351
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.849891 2.674761 4.108005 7.208370 15.691338 53.122241 2584.699372